Pillar Guide · The Numbers Behind the Deal

CRE Underwriting: Cap Rate, NOI, DSCR, and IRR

Four numbers price every commercial real estate deal: what the property earns, what that's worth, whether a lender will finance it, and what an investor actually walks away with. Every offering memorandum leads with a headline return; this is how to check the math behind it — one apartment property, underwritten in full, with every formula shown.

By Casmir Mason — Founder & CEO, North Pine Capital (a CRE sponsor — affiliation disclosed)
Last reviewed September 2026
Educational — not tax, legal, or investment advice
The short version

NOI (income after operating expenses, before debt and taxes) is the foundation everything else is built on. Cap rate (NOI ÷ price) converts NOI into a valuation snapshot — no debt, no future growth, just today's income against today's price. DSCR (NOI ÷ annual debt payments) is what a lender checks before financing anything; most require 1.20-1.25x minimum. IRR is the only one of the four that accounts for financing, time, and an exit — it's the number that actually answers "what will I earn," and it's why a lower cap-rate deal can out-earn a higher one once leverage and growth are added. Worked end to end below on one property.

What underwriting means

Underwriting is the process of testing whether a property's price is justified by what it actually earns, and whether it can support the debt used to buy it — the discipline that separates an investment decision from a pitch-deck decision. Every commercial deal, from a $2 million net-lease property to a $200 million multifamily portfolio, gets evaluated through the same four numbers in sequence: NOI establishes what the property earns; cap rate checks that earnings against price; DSCR checks that earnings against debt; and IRR projects what an investor actually nets once financing, time, and an exit are added. Skipping any one of them means trusting someone else's math.

NOI: the foundation metric

Net operating income is a property's income after operating expenses but before debt service, capital expenditures, and income taxes:

NOI = Gross Rental Income + Other Income − Vacancy − Operating Expenses

Operating expenses include property taxes, insurance, management fees, repairs and maintenance, utilities (to the extent not passed through to tenants), and reserves for turnover — but never mortgage payments, depreciation, or capital improvements, which sit below NOI in the analysis. Every other number in this guide is downstream of NOI; an inflated or optimistic NOI (understated vacancy, expenses left off, one-time income included as recurring) corrupts the cap rate, the DSCR, and the IRR that follow, which is why a serious buyer rebuilds the seller's NOI from the actual trailing operating statements and rent roll rather than accepting the offering memorandum's number as given.

Cap rate: definition and formula

Cap Rate = NOI ÷ Purchase Price (or Current Value)

Cap rate answers one question: what percentage return does this property's income represent on its price, with no debt in the picture at all? A property with $150,000 NOI purchased for $2,500,000 has a 6% cap rate. It's the fastest way to compare two properties' pricing on an apples-to-apples, all-cash basis, and it's the metric brokers lead with because it's the simplest to state. It is also, on its own, an incomplete answer to "is this a good deal" — see below.

What's a "good" cap rate

Property type / marketTypical 2026 cap rate range
Stabilized multifamily, primary market4.5-5.5%
Grocery-anchored retail, industrial (credit tenant)5.5-6.5%
Office, well-located, credit tenant6.5-8%
Secondary/tertiary market, older assets, shorter leases6.5-8.5%+
Value-add / distressed / significant lease rollover8%+

A lower cap rate reflects a market paying a premium for perceived safety, growth, or liquidity (primary-market multifamily, credit-tenant net lease); a higher cap rate reflects a market demanding more compensation for risk (secondary markets, shorter leases, older buildings, uncertain renewal). Neither is universally "good" — the question is always whether the rate matches the asset's actual risk. A cap rate meaningfully below the market range for that property type is often the clearest early sign of an underwriting problem, not a great find.

What cap rate can't tell you

Cap rate is a snapshot, not a return: it says nothing about financing (an investor's actual return depends heavily on leverage — see IRR below), nothing about future rent growth or expense inflation, and nothing about capital needs the property will require during the hold. Two properties can carry an identical 6% cap rate and be entirely different investments — one with a long-term credit tenant and no near-term capex, the other with a lease expiring in 18 months and a roof at the end of its life. This is also where two rough consumer rules of thumb sometimes surface in commercial conversations and shouldn't be trusted there: the 1% rule and 2% rule (monthly rent as a percentage of price) are quick screens built for small residential rentals, not institutional underwriting standards — most sound stabilized commercial deals fail them comfortably.

DSCR: what lenders actually check

DSCR = NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service

Debt service coverage ratio measures how many times over a property's NOI covers its annual mortgage payments (principal and interest). A DSCR of 1.25x means NOI exceeds the annual debt payment by 25% — the cushion a lender wants before a bad month, a vacancy, or an unexpected repair threatens the ability to pay the mortgage.

Lender / product typeTypical minimum DSCR
Agency multifamily (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac), strong assets1.20-1.25x
Conventional bank commercial loan1.25x
Bridge / value-add debt1.10-1.20x (interest-only structuring common)
Higher-risk property types (hospitality, heavy value-add)1.30x+
DSCR loan products (small investment/multifamily property, income-only qualification)Often 1.00-1.25x, paired with 20-25% down

DSCR also determines the maximum loan amount a property can support — lenders size the loan to the DSCR floor, not just a loan-to-value ceiling, so a property with strong NOI can sometimes borrow more than LTV alone would suggest, and a property with thin NOI gets capped well below what LTV would otherwise allow. Worth distinguishing: DSCR as a ratio applies to every commercial loan; a "DSCR loan" is a specific loan product, mostly for one-to-four-unit and small multifamily investment property, that qualifies the borrower on the property's own cash flow rather than personal income documentation — useful for investors whose income doesn't fit a W-2 profile, at the cost of a higher rate than a fully-documented conventional loan.

IRR: the number that includes everything else

Internal rate of return is the annualized return that accounts for every cash flow over the entire hold — the initial investment, every year's distributions, and the sale proceeds — discounted for timing. Unlike cap rate, IRR captures financing (leverage can raise IRR well above the unlevered cap rate, or destroy it if debt is too expensive or too large), rent growth, expense inflation, and the exit assumption. It's the number a sponsor's targeted return actually is, and it's also the easiest number to inflate quietly: an aggressive exit-cap-rate assumption (assuming the property sells for a lower cap rate — a higher price — than it was bought at) can turn a mediocre deal into an impressive-looking IRR on paper. The single highest-value diligence habit for any offering: rebuild the IRR with a flat or slightly higher exit cap rate than the entry rate, and see what survives.

One property, underwritten end to end

A 60-unit apartment property, offered at $9,000,000:

StepCalculationResult
Gross potential rent60 units × $1,400/mo × 12$1,008,000
Less vacancy (5%)− $50,400$957,600
Plus other income (parking, fees)+ $36,000$993,600 effective gross income
Less operating expenses (42% of EGI)− $417,312NOI: $576,288
Cap rate at asking price$576,288 ÷ $9,000,0006.4%
Debt sized at 65% LTV, 6.5% rate, 30-yr amortization$5,850,000 loan, ~$443,500 annual debt service 
DSCR at that loan amount$576,288 ÷ $443,5001.30x — clears a typical 1.25x minimum
Year-1 cash flow to equityNOI − debt service$132,788 on $3,150,000 equity — 4.2% cash-on-cash
5-year IRR (3% annual rent growth, exit at 6.6% cap — 20bps higher than entry)Modeled across all 5 years' cash flow plus net sale proceeds~13-15% (illustrative range; sponsor models vary by assumption)

Notice what moved the outcome: a conservative exit-cap assumption (higher, not lower, than entry) kept the IRR believable; the DSCR check confirmed the debt was financeable before the equity math mattered at all; and the cap rate alone — 6.4% — said nothing about the leveraged return until debt and time were added. This is the sequence every serious underwriting exercise follows, whether it's a $9 million apartment deal or a property being evaluated as a 1031 replacement under a 45-day clock.

Common underwriting mistakes

Accepting the seller's or sponsor's NOI without rebuilding it from trailing financials and the actual rent roll; using an exit cap rate lower than the entry cap rate to manufacture IRR; underestimating capex and reserves, especially on older properties; ignoring near-term lease rollover in the income projection; sizing debt to a lender's best-case DSCR quote rather than a stressed scenario; and treating a headline "targeted IRR" as a promise rather than a projection built on assumptions that deserve to be questioned individually.

Underwriting a 1031 replacement property

Every deadline pressure of a 1031 exchange makes underwriting more important, not less — a rushed identification inside the 45-day window is exactly when a seller's optimistic NOI or an inflated cap rate is most likely to go unchecked. The same four numbers apply whether the replacement is a direct property, a net-lease asset, or the property inside a DST — a sponsor's offering memorandum is, functionally, someone else's underwriting handed to you, and worth rebuilding rather than trusting on a clock. Deferral math for the exchange itself: 1031 Exchange Calculator.

Frequently asked questions

There's no universal good cap rate — it depends on property type, market, and risk. As rough 2026 ranges: stabilized multifamily in primary markets often trades 4.5-5.5%, grocery-anchored retail and industrial 5.5-6.5%, and secondary-market or older assets 6.5-8%+. A lower cap rate means the market is paying more per dollar of income — usually because the asset or market is perceived as lower risk or higher growth; a higher cap rate means the market is paying less per dollar of income, usually pricing in more risk. "Good" depends entirely on whether the rate matches the asset's actual risk — an 8% cap rate on a genuinely stable asset is a bargain; the same 8% on a distressed one may be correctly priced.
Like the 1% rule, the 2% rule is a rough screening heuristic from small residential investing — monthly rent should equal about 2% of purchase price — used to flag deals worth a closer look before full underwriting. It essentially never applies to institutional-grade commercial real estate, where deals are priced on cap rate, NOI, and debt-service coverage rather than a gross rent ratio; a stabilized multifamily or retail asset in a strong market can be an excellent investment at well under 1%. Treat both rules as beginner filters for small residential deals, not underwriting tools for commercial property.
Neither is inherently better — it depends on which side of the transaction you're on and what the rate reflects. As a buyer, a higher cap rate means paying less per dollar of income (a cheaper entry price for the same NOI), which is generally favorable if the higher rate reflects market conditions rather than a hidden problem with the asset. As a seller, a lower cap rate at sale means a higher valuation for the same NOI. The number only means something next to a reason: rate compression from strong demand is different from a high rate that's pricing in real vacancy, capex, or tenant-credit risk.
That the property's net operating income equals 7.5% of its purchase price (or current value) — for example, $150,000 of NOI on a $2 million purchase. It says nothing by itself about whether that's a good deal; a 7.5% cap rate is attractive for a well-located, well-leased asset in a market where comparable deals trade at 6%, and appropriately cautious for a property with near-term lease rollover, deferred maintenance, or a market pricing in real risk. Cap rate is a snapshot ratio, not a return — it excludes financing, future rent growth, and capex, all of which the IRR calculation captures instead.
Most commercial lenders require a minimum debt service coverage ratio of 1.20-1.25x, meaning the property's NOI covers annual debt payments with a 20-25% cushion; more conservative lenders or riskier property types (hospitality, heavy value-add) may require 1.30x or higher, while some agency multifamily debt (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac) can go as low as 1.20x or occasionally lower on strong assets. A DSCR of exactly 1.00x means the property generates just enough income to cover its debt, with zero cushion for vacancy, a bad month, or a capital repair — which is why lenders build in a margin rather than lending to the breakeven point.
A DSCR loan — a specific loan product, mostly for small residential-investment and small multifamily property, that qualifies the borrower on the property's cash flow rather than personal income — typically carries a higher interest rate than a conventional or agency loan, requires a larger down payment (commonly 20-25%), and often carries a prepayment penalty. It trades documentation simplicity (no personal income verification, no tax returns) for cost; it suits investors whose personal income doesn't easily document W-2-style, less so anyone who could qualify conventionally for a lower rate.
Yes — 1.7x is well above the typical lender minimum of 1.20-1.25x, meaning the property generates 70% more income than needed to cover its debt payments. That cushion usually means either the property is generating strong cash flow relative to its debt load, or the investor is under-leveraged relative to what the asset could support. Neither is a problem, but an investor optimizing returns might ask whether more leverage (raising the loan amount, lowering DSCR toward the 1.25-1.35x range) would improve cash-on-cash return without taking the ratio into genuinely risky territory.
No, but 20-25% down is the common range across DSCR loan programs, and some lenders require more for lower DSCR ratios, weaker property types, or first-time investors. A handful of programs go lower for very strong DSCR (1.25x+) or higher credit profiles. Every program varies by lender — the down payment, rate, and DSCR minimum move together, so a lower down payment typically comes paired with a higher rate or a higher required DSCR.